The influence of the North Atlantic and East Atlantic oscillations on the variability of the hydrogen index in the Black Sea surface layer

A.B. Polonsky, E.A. Grebneva

Institute of Natural and Technical Systems, RF, Sevastopol, Lenin St., 28

E-mail: apolonsky5@mail.ru

 

DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2026-1-08-22

UDC 551.465.7:551.510.52                                        

EDN: https://elibrary.ru/aeleqd

Abstract:     

The influence of the North Atlantic (NAO) and East Atlantic ocillations (EAO) on the spatiotemporal variability of pH in the surface layer of the Black Sea has been analyzed using regular data from the Black Sea reanalysis with a biogeochemical block, available over approximately 30 years. This made it possible to obtain much more detailed and reliable patterns of the impact of these large-scale atmospheric interannual modes on the acidity index of the Black Sea waters compared with those described in the earlier works. A significant effect of the NAO and EAO on the spatiotemporal variability of the hydrogen index in the Black Sea was revealed, both quasi-synchronous and with a characteristic time delay of the pH fields relative to the indices of these oscillations up to 4 months. One of the main mechanisms of the impact of variations in atmospheric characteristics on the spatio-temporal structure of the pH field in the surface layer, due to the response of the hydrogen index to anomalies of the spatially inhomogeneous wind field and related circulation features of the Black Sea, is described in detail. It has been shown that, in general, the EAO has a more significant effect on the characteristics of the pH field than the NAO.

Keywords: Black Sea, hydrogen index (pH), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), East Atlantic Oscillation (EAO), spatial and temporal variability, biogeochemical reanalysis, Rim Black Sea Current, circulation of the Black Sea waters

Full text in PDF(RUS)

REFERENCES

  1. Kozuchowski K.M. Variations of hemispheric zonal index since 1899 and its relationships with air temperature. International Journal Climatology, 1993, Vol. 13, pp. 853–864.
  2. Rogers J.C. North Atlantic Storm Track Variability and Its Association to the North Atlantic Oscillation and Climate Variability of Northern Europe. Journal Climate, 1997, Vol. 7, pp. 1635–1647.
  3. Ulbrich U. and Christoph M. A shift of the NAO and increasing storm track activity over Europe due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics, 1999, Vol. 15, No. 7, pp. 551–559.
  4. 4.. Hurrell J.W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., and Visbeck M. An Overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. Eds. by J.W. Hurrell et al. Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union, 2003, pp. 1–35.
  5. Trigo R.M., Osborn T.J., and Corte-Real J.M. The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe: Climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms. Climate Research, 2002, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 9–17.
  6. Polonsky A.B. The Ocean’s Role in Climate Change. Cambridge Scholars Publishing, Newcastle, UK, 2019, 294 p. ISBN: 978-1-5275-2389-0.
  7. Pal’men E. and N’yuton Ch. Cirkulyacionnye sistemy atmosfery (Atmospheric circulation systems). Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1973, 465 р.
  8. Wallace J.M. and Gutzler D.S. Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Monthly Weather Review, 1981, Vol. 109, No. 4, pp. 784–812.
  9. Woollings T., Hannachi A., and Hoskins B. Variability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2010, Vol. 136, No. 649, pp. 856–868.
  10. Walker G.T. and Bliss E.W. World weather V. Royal Meteorological Society, 1932, Vol. 36, pp. 53–84.
  11. Lorenz E.N. The Nature and Theory of the General Circulation of the Atmosphere. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization, 1967, 161 p.
  12. Barnston A.G. and Livezey R.E. Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Monthly Weather Review, 1987, Vol. 115, No. 6, pp. 1083–1126.
  13. Feldstein S.B. The timescale, power spectra, and climate noise properties of teleconnection patterns. Journal of Climate, 2000, Vol. 13, No. 24, pp. 4430–4440.
  14. Polonskij A.B. and Basharin D.V. Vliyanie klimaticheskogo sdviga 1976–1977 gg. na krupnomasshtabnuyu strukturu prizemnyh meteorologicheskih polej Evrazii (The influence of the 1976–1977 climate shift on the large-scale structure of surface meteorological fields in Eurasia). Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2008, No. 5, pp. 16–30.
  15. Hurrell J.W. Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation. Science, 1995, No. 5224, pp. 676–679.
  16. Polonskij A.B., Basharin D.V., Voskresenskaya E.N., and Worli S. Severoatlanticheskoe kolebanie: opisanie, mekhanizmy i vliyanie na klimat Evrazii (North Atlantic Oscillation: Description, Mechanisms, and Impact on the Climate of Eurasia). Morskoj gidrofizicheskij zhurnal, 2004, No. 2, pp. 42–57.
  17. Nesterov E.S. Osobennosti sostoyaniya okeana i atmosfery v raznyh fazah severoatlanticheskogo kolebaniya (Features of the Ocean and Atmosphere State in Different Phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation). Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1998, No. 8, pp. 74–82.
  18. Thompson D.W. and Wallace J.M. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophysical Research Letters, 1998, Vol. 25, No. 9, pp. 1297–1300.
  19. Ivanov V.A. and Belokopytov V.N. Okeanografiya Chernogo moray (Oceanography of the Black Sea). Morskoj gidrofizicheskij institute, Sevastopol’, 2011, 209 p.
  20. Bardin M.YU., Platova T.V., and Samohina O.F. Osobennosti izmenchivosti ciklonicheskoj ak-tivnosti v umerennyh shirotah Severnogo polushariya, svyazannye s vedushchimi modami atmosfernoj cirkulyacii v Atlantiko-Evropejskom sektore (Features of the variability of cyclonic activity in the temperate latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere associated with the leading modes of atmospheric circulation in the Atlantic-European sector). Fundamental’naya i prikladnaya klimatologiya, 2015, Vol. 2, pp. 14–40.
  21. Aver’yanova E.A., Gubarev A.V., and Polonskij A.B. Vliyanie severoatlanticheskogo i vostochno-atlanticheskogo kolebanij na zavihrennost’ kasatel’nogo napryazheniya treniya vetra nad Chernym morem (The influence of the North Atlantic and East Atlantic oscillations on wind stress curl over the Black Sea). Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2022, No. 1, pp. 24–35.
  22. Evstigneev V.P., Naumova V.A., Voskresenskaya E.N., Evstigneev M.P., and Lyubarec E.P. Vetrovolnovye usloviya pribrezhnoj zony Azovo-Chernomorskogo regiona (Wind and wave conditions of the coastal zone of the Azov-Black Sea region). Sevastopol’: IPTS, 2017, 320 p.
  23. Lionello P., Bhend J., Buzzi A., Della-Marta P., Krichak S., Jansà A., Maheras P., Sanna A., Trigo I., and Trigo R. Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: Climatology and effects on the environment. Developments in earth & environmental sciences, 2006, Vol. 14, pp. 325–372.
  24. Vyazilova N.A. Ciklonicheskaya aktivnost’ i kolebaniya cirkulyacii v Severnoj Atlantiki (Cyclonic activity and circulation fluctuations in the North Atlantics). Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2012, No. 7, pp. 5–14.
  25. Mellado-Cano J., Barriopedro D., Garcia-Herrera R., Trigo R., and Hernández A. Examining the North Atlantic Oscillation, East Atlantic pattern, and jet variability since 1685. J. Climate, 2019, Vol. 32, No. 19, pp. 6285–6298. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0135.1.
  26. Moore G.W.K. and Renfrew I. Cold European winters: Interplay between the NAO and the East Atlantic mode. Atmos. Sci. Lett, 2012, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 1–8. DOI: 10.1002/asl.356.
  27. Woollings T. and Blackburn M. The North Atlantic jet stream under climate change, and its relation to the NAO and EA patterns. J. Climate, 2012, Vol. 25,  pp. 886–902.
  28. Franzke C. and Feldstein S.B. The continuum and dynamics of Northern hemisphere teleconnection patterns. J. Atmos. Sci, 2005, Vol. 62, No. 9,  pp. 3250–326.
  29. Emil V. Stanev and Elissaveta L. Peneva. Regional sea level response to global climatic change: Black Sea examples. Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 32(1), pp. 33–47.
  30. Podymov O.I., Yakushev E.V., and Kostyleva A.V. On Interannual Variability of Chemical Characteristics of Redox Layer and Cold Intermediate Layer of the Black Sea. Chemical Structure of Pelagic Redox Interfaces, pp.121–135. DOI:10.1007/698_2011_122.
  31. Oguz T., Dippner J.W., and Kaymaz Z. Climatic regulation of the Black Sea hydro-meteorological and ecological properties at interannual-to-decadal time scales. Journal of Marine Systems, 2006, Vol. 60 (3–4), pp. 235–254. DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2005.11.011.
  32. Oguz T. Black Sea Ecosystem Response to Climatic Teleconnections. Oceanography, 2005, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 122–133.
  33. Polonskij A.B. and Grebneva E.A. O mezhgodovoj izmenchivosti velichiny rH v poverhnostnom sloe glubokovodnoj chasti Chernogo moray (On the interannual variability of the pH value in the surface layer of the deep-sea part of the Black Sea). Sistemy kontrolya okruzhayushchej sredy, 2022, No. 2 (48), pp. 12–21. DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2022-2-12-21.
  34. Polonskij A.B. and Grebneva E.A. Vliyanie Vostochno-Atlanticheskogo kolebaniya na anomalii pH v verhnem sloe otkrytoj chasti Chernogo morya (The influence of the East Atlantic Oscillation on pH anomalies in the upper layer of the open part of the Black Sea). Sistemy kontrolya okruzhayushchej sredy, 2023, No. 1 (51), pp. 15–26. DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2023-1-15-26.
  35. Grégoire M., Vandenbulcke L., and Capet A. Black Sea Biogeochemical Reanalysis (CMEMS BS-Biogeochemistry) (Version 1) [Data set]. Copernicus Monitoring Environment Marine Service (CMEMS). 2020. https://doi.org/10.25423/CMCC/BLKSEA_REANALYSIS_BIO_007_005_BAMHBI (January 13, 2025).
  36. Grégoire M. and Soetaert K. Carbon, nitrogen, oxygen and sulfide budgets in the Black Sea: A biogeochemical model of the whole water column coupling the oxic and anoxic parts. Ecological Modelling, 2010, Vol. 221, No. 19, pp. 2287–2301.
  37. Capet A. et al. Integrating sediment biogeochemistry into 3D oceanic models: A study of benthic-pelagic coupling in the Black Sea. Ocean Modelling, 2016, Vol. 101, pp. 83–100.
  38. Grégoire M., Raick C., and Soetaert K. Numerical modeling of the deep Black Sea ecosystem functioning during the late 80’s (eutrophication phase). Progress in Oceanography, 2008, No. 76 (9), pp. 286–333.
  39. Polonskij A.B. and Grebneva E.A. Verifikaciya dannyh re-analiza CMEMS BS-Biogeochemistry po velichine rN v Chernom more s ispol’zovaniem rezul’tatov pryamyh izmerenij (Verification of CMEMS BS-Biogeochemistry reanalysis data on pH in the Black Sea using direct measurements). Sistemy kontrolya okruzhayushchej sredy, 2024, No. 1(55), pp. 112–118. DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2024-1-112-118.
  40. NOAA/National Weather Service, Center for Climate Prediction. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/teledoc/ea_map.shtml (September 06, 2022).
  41. Har’kova O.A. and Solov’ev A.G. Statisticheskie metody i matematicheskoe modelirovanie: uchebnoe posobie (Statistical methods and mathematical modelling). Arhangelsk: SGMU, 2017, 164 p.
  42. Glowienka-Hense R. The North Atlantic Oscillation in the Atlantic European SLP. Tellus, 1990, No. 5, pp. 497–507.
  43. Maslova V.N. and Voskresenskaya E.N. Determinirovannost’ vremennoj izmenchivosti povtoryaemosti ciklonov v Chernomorsko-Sredizemnomorskom regione (Determinism of temporal variability of cyclone frequency in the Black Sea-Mediterranean region). Fundamental’naya i prikladnaya klimatologiya, 2025, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 75–114. DOI:10.21513/2410-8758-2025-1-75-114.
  44. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/teledoc/nao_map.shtml (March 02, 2025).
  45. Polonskij A.B., Bardin M.Yu., and Voskresenskaya E.N. Statisticheskie harakteristiki ciklonov i anticiklonov nad Chernym morem vo vtoroj polovine XX veka (Statistical characteristics of cyclones and anticyclones over the Black Sea in the second half of the 20th century). Morskoj gidrofizicheskij zhurnal, 2007, No. 6, pp. 47–58.
  46. Polonsky A.B. and Grebneva E.A. The spatiotemporal variability of pH in waters of the Black sea. Doklady Earth Sciences, 2019, Vol. 486, No. 2, pp. 669–674. DOI: 10.1134/S1028334X19060072.
  47. Polonskij A.B. and Serebrennikov A.N. O nizkochastotnoj izmenchivosti polej vetra i geostroficheskih techenij Chernogo morya po sputnikovym dannym. Chast’ 1: sezonnyj cikl (Low-frequency variability of wind fields and geostrophic currents in the Black Sea based on satellite data. Part 1: Seasonal cycle). Sistemy kontrolya okruzhayushchej sredy, 2019, No. 2(36), pp. 64–72. DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2019-2-64-72.
  48. Nesterov E.S. O vostochno-atlanticheskom kolebanii cirkulyacii atmosfery (On the East Atlantic Oscillation of Atmospheric Circulation). Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2009, No. 12, pp. 32–40.

Loading