Assessment of the effectiveness of implementing a conceptual model for managing a complex for handling production waste in the context of climate change

by

E.A. Minkinen, A.A. Berezina

1Saint Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation, RF, Saint-Petersburg, Bolshaya Morskaia, 67, lit. A,

E-mail: elizaveta_minkinen@mail.ru

DOI: 10.33075/2220-5861-2026-1-147-157 

UDC 504.064                  

EDN: https://elibrary.ru/lkrpwh

Abstract:   

The paper presents the results of the development and experimental testing of a conceptual model for handling production waste, adapted to the conditions of climate change. The study was conducted at a construction company in the Northwestern Federal District. The effectiveness of the proposed conceptual model is confirmed by the positive dynamics of key indicators. The implementation of this model allowed increasing the accuracy of climate risk forecasts by 31.3% and doubled staff functionality. There has been a reduction in decision-making time, a decrease in deviations in waste volume forecasts, and an increase in equipment reliability. Environmental efficiency is reflected in such results as a reduction in the specific mass of pollutants (by 8.3%) and water savings (by 21.3%) through the use of treated storm water runoff. An integrated assessment of the sustainability of the natural and technical system confirmed the facility transition to a category with positive dynamics. The practical significance of the conceptual model lies in the possibility of adapting production processes without introducing fundamentally new technologies, which contributes to compliance with regulatory requirements. Further research involves testing the conceptual model in other industries and developing automated risk forecasting systems.

Keywords: climate change, production waste, criteria, efficiency, conceptual model, data

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